Maxaad da'a qiimaha oo saliid ah? sicirka saliidda Adduunka

khubaro badan ayaa hadda ka badan dhowrkii sano ee la soo dhaafay ma aysan joogsan in ay la yaabanahay sababta ay dhaco in qiimaha saliidda iyo inta jiita "bearish" dareenka. Intii lagu guda jiray shantii sano ee la soo dhaafay 4 dayrta caalami ah ayaa laga soo qoray suuqa saliidda. "Bear" wareegga waxaa soo noqnoqda 14 jeer, iyo tan iyo 2000. In kasta oo xasilooni ka mid ah xaaladda, qiimaha halkii foosto had iyo jeer waa si nabad ah dib ugu soo bar billow ah.

hoos u dhac baaxad weyn oo ku yimid qiimaha saliidda ee 21 qarnigii

dayrta caalamka in sicirka saliidda ee taariikhda jiritaanka suuqa ahaa awoodaan si ay ula socdaan taariikhda xigashooyin WITI, taas oo, tan iyo sanadkii 2011, waxaana bedelay shidaalka fasalka Brent ah. Waxaa jira oo keliya shan:

1. 2001. By January 19, 2001 qiimaha saliidda ahaa 32.2 dollars. By November 5, 2001 qiimaha hoos 17.5 dollars. Muddo 10 bilood ah qiimaha halkii foosto hoos 48.5 boqolkiiba.

2. 2006. July 14, 2006 qiimaha halkii foosto ee saliidda ahaa 77 doolar. On 18-kii January ee sanadka soo socda, qiimaha gaareen heer ah 50.5 dollars. dhibic The qiimaha of 34.5% waxaa laga soo qoray 6 bilood.

3. Summer 2008. Sannadkii 2008, July 3rd qiimaha halkii foosto wuxuu u dhigmaa 145.3 dollars. 2.5 bilood ka dib, kuwaas on 16 September waxaa laga soo qoray hal mar on hoose ee index - si 91.2 dollars.

4. Dayrta 2008. By 22 September, ka dib markii dayrta la soo dhaafay oo saliid ah dib ugu heerka 120.9 dollars jiido, iyo December 19 xiray meel ka qaaday qiimaha a of 33.9 dollars. In kaliya seddex bilood qiimaha halkii foosto ee saliidda ayaa dhacay 71.9%.

5. Spring 2011. April 29, 2011 qiimaha gaadhay 113, 93 doolar halkii foosto. Laakiin on October 4 on shaxda maalin kasta horay loo duubay hooseeyo cusub ee $ 75.67. dayrta socday 5 bilood, qiimaha by 33,58% hoos u dhacay.

Maxaad da'a qiimaha saliidda iyo sida xaaladda 2015?

Oil waxaa aasaas u ah dhammaan ilaha tamarta, kaas oo la dhisay dhowaad ilbaxnimo oo dhan. qiyaasi bulshada casriga ah waa wax aan macquul aheyn oo aan baansiin, gaas iyo shidaalka naaftada. Taasi waa sababta su'aasha ah sababta qiimaha dhicidda oo saliid ah, ma wax yar ka walaacsan falanqeeyayaasha dhaqaale oo keliya ma aha, laakiin dadka ugu badan ee dunida. Xaaladdu waa mid xiiso u dhow khabiir kasta xaalkan.

fiiro gaar ah waxaa la siiyaa qiimaha saliidda deggan Russia. Tan waxa u sabab xaqiiqada ah in xilliga dayrta ee qiimaha shidaalka ayaa keentay in hoos u dhac in Ruble ah. dollar waxaa degdeg ah u koraya, iyo Ruble ayaa kaliya burburay. Dadka joojiyaan in ay sii kaydka ay. Waxay sidoo kale maal ee iibka ah ee qalabka guriga ama horumar ah ee xaaladaha nololeed ay, ama deymaha wareejiyo ee lacagta qalaad ee heerka wanaagsan ma aha.

Inkastoo saadaasha ee sannadkii hore, qiimaha saliidda maanta dhacaya. 2014 dhamaatay yareynta kale in qiimaha halkii foosto. The furida arrimuhu dheer la sugayay ayaa dhacay, xaaladda ayaa weli ma cadda.

Analytics Milicsiga

qiimaha saliidda World Brent (brand tani waa mid ka mid ah kuwa ugu doonteen, by dhaqdhaqaaqa ee ay qiimaha ka dhigaysa falanqaynta guud ee suuqa) in January-February 2014 istaagay ku dhawaad 107 doolar halkii foosto. Horraantii bishii October si ay u iibsadaan hal foosto oo saliid ah ayaa laga yaabaa inuu kaliya $ 90. Tani waa sababta weyn u argagax wadamada dhaqdhaqaaqa dhaqaale ku salaysan waxaa dhoofinta tamarta. At xaaladda qiimaha this laga dhigin mid deggan, iyo December 11, jadwalka qiimaha ayaa barbaro cusub hooseeyo - 64 doolar. Maanta, iibsada diyaar siiyo shidaalka ku jira ma aha in ka badan 59.5 dollars. Waxaa soo baxday xaalad aad u xiiso badan. Baahida loo qabo shidaalka waxaa si nidaamsan u kordhay, iyo qiimaha uu hoos u dhaco.

Sababaha dhaca ku yimid qiimaha adduunka - siyaasadda OPEC

Jawaabta cad in su'aasha ah: "Maxaad ku dhacaa, qiimaha oo saliid ah?" dhibaato. Xaaladda ahaa ee ay is barbar waqti isku mid ah arrimo dhowr ah, kuwaas oo, sida ay falanqeeyayaal dhaqaale lagu abuuray kiimikaysan.

Si weyn u bedelay qiimaha saliidda halkii foosto ay sabab u tahay siyaasadda wadamada - xubno ka mid ah OPEC. Inta ay la saliidda soo saaray maalin kasta kordhay. Bishii August 2014 record waxaa laga sameeyey. mugga The oo saliid ceyriin lacag 30.5 milyan oo foosto maalintii. In ka badan 5 bilood ee la soo dhaafay, tirada this weli heer deggan. Horaantii, heerka maalin ee wax soo saarka saliidda ahaa 30 million oo fuusto. in la kordhiyo mugga saarka 0.5 million oo adag leh arrimo kale saameyn muhiim ah oo ku saabsan shil suuqa.

Liibiya, Saudi Arabia iyo Kuwait, saamaynta on suuqa saliidda

About dhibic soo socda qiimaha digay Venezuela, Iran iyo 4-goboleedyada in ay yihiin qayb ka mid ah OPEC. Sida laga soo xigtay khubaro, koror weyn oo qiimaha halkii foosto waxaa suurtagal ah halka yareynta mugga ee wax soo saarka shidaalka by foosto oo keliya 415.000. Sidaas darteed diidmada ah hoos u of Muga-soo-saarka ka soo Sacuudi Carabiya iyo Kuwait, xaaladda ka sii darey. dalalka Voices ahaayeen muhim, sida ay tahay xisaab Saudi Arabia qiyaastii 300 milyan oo foosto oo dheeraad ah oo saliid ah. Xaaladda kululeeyo ilaa kabashada dhaqaalaha Libya, kaas oo ugu dambeyntii ka soo xaalad dagaal oo mar kale ku biiray madaxda sare ee ciyaartoyda adag suuqa saliidda.

doorka Maraykanku ku formation of qiimaha suuqa saliidda

dhaca ku yimid qiimaha saliidda ayaa sababa falalka on qayb ka mid ah America, sida dhulkeeda waa arrin tiro badan oo kayd ah macdanta this. Dowladda ee Gobolka si looga fogaado yaraan, soo saartay sharci mamnuucaya dhoofinta shidaalka cayriin. Dhanka kale, Maraykanka ayaa in ka badan muddo toban sano ah ayaa weli ah macaamiisha ugu weyn oo saliid ah oo adduunka ah. xaddi weyn oo shidaal ah, kaas oo kor u soo iibsaday dalka, oo ay taageerayaan kharashka shidaalka. Sicirka saliidda halkii foosto ayaa ku hadhay heer sare.

Yaraynta kharashka saliidda cayriin ee September 2014 soo beegantay in la kordhiyo wax soo saarka shidaalka ee America. Heerka wax soo saarka maalin istaagay 8.7 million oo fuusto. Sida laga soo xigtay falanqaynta, bilaha soo socda la kordhiyo in 9.5 million oo fuusto. Sidaas darteed, qiimaha saliidda ay yihiin kuwo ka dhicin, macaamiisha ugu muhiimsan ayaa ka tagay garoonka. Waxaa intaa dheer, helidda dulduleelo sharciga ah, shirkadaha waaweyn ee waxay bilaabeen inay dhoofiyaan ay saliid suuqa dunida. Tani mugga oo saliid ceyriin ma ahaa ee dalka tan iyo 1987-kii.

Dadab "overproduction - isticmaalka"

dhaca ku yimid qiimaha saliidda ahaa dharbaaxo dhabta ah dhaqaalaha ee gobolka, kuwaas oo ku nool kharash ku tamarta. isticmaalka shidaalka Daily of 92 million oo fuusto. Sababo la xiriira yaraanta shidaalka ee suuqyada caalamka, qiimaha ahaa mid qaali ah. boodi fiiqan in industry macdanta heerka 93.8 million oo foosto keentay in overproduction. Natiijadu waxay tahay wax iska cad. Marka alaabta badan iibsada, qiimaha waa la dhimay by yaraynta baahida. sii wadi doonaa ilaa inta wax soo saarka wax ku ool ah oo shidaal ah, xaaladda way ka sii dartaa keliya.

u kaca lacagta doollarka ayaa saamaysay qiimaha saliidda

dhibicda in sicirka saliidda ayaa saameysey iyo kor u kac wayn ee dollar ah. Tan waxa u sabab xaqiiqada ah in qiimaha halkii foosto waxaa loo xisaabiyaa sida saxda ah ee lacagta Mareykanka ah. At gobolka joogta ah baahida iyo qiimaha suuqa saliidda weli ma guurto ah. Haddii aan ka fiirsan in dollar waxaa si joogto ah la beddelo oo la xiriirta lacagaha dunida, xaaladda kor ku tilmaamay in suuqa - taasi waa ka boqortooyada khiyaali. Sidaas darteed, korodhka qiimaha doolarka dhacdaa dhibic qiimaha saliidda, sida wadada u ogolaanaya dollar ah si ay u iibsadaan mugga dheeraad ah oo shidaal ah. dollar oo soo dhacaysa waxay keeni doontaa in la kordhiyo qiimaha saliidda, sida halkii foosto yeelan doonaan in ay bixiyaan lacag ka badan lacagta Mareykanka ah. Waddamada qaarkood diido in ay saliid iibiso dollars. si aad u iibsato shirkadda shidaalka si loo bedelo lacagta, taasoo keenta in la kordhiyo sahayda iyo dareen iyada ku dhici. Mararka ay dhacdo in sicirka saliidda dunida oo dollar soo baxna qiimaha waqti isku mid ah. Tan waxa u sabab xaqiiqada ah in xaaladda waa in uu la socdaa hoos u dhac ku heerka shaqada ee dalka Mareykanka iyo waxqabadka dhaqaalaha wanaagsan.